Episode 37

Joseph's Failed Prophecies

Original Air Date: 2023-03-03

Failed PropheciesSecond ComingUnited Order

This video, titled "Joseph Smith's Failed Prophecies," is the 37th episode of the LDS Discussions series on the Mormon Stories Podcast. Hosted by John Dehlin, with contributors Mike (from LDS Discussions) and Nemo the Mormon, the episode analyzes specific prophecies and revelations made by Joseph Smith that did not come to pass. The discussion aims to test Joseph Smith’s validity as a prophet using the biblical standard found in Deuteronomy 18, which states that if a prophet speaks in the name of the Lord and the thing does not happen, "that is the thing which the Lord hath not spoken" 1, 2.

Here is a detailed summary of the specific failed prophecies and concepts discussed in the video:

The Second Coming in 1891

In February 1835, Joseph Smith stated that the coming of the Lord was "nigh" and that "56 years should wind up the scene" 3. This timeline places the Second Coming in 1891. The hosts note that this was not a conditional statement requiring Joseph to live that long, but a direct assertion recorded in the minute books 3. The prophecy failed, as the Second Coming did not occur in 1891, though the hosts note that later church leaders and members often reinterpret such failures to maintain faith 4, 5.

The Overthrow of the U.S. Government

In 1843, Joseph Smith prophesied that if the United States did not redress the wrongs committed against the Saints in Missouri, the government would be "utterly overthrown and wasted" within "a few years" so that there would not be "a potsherd left" 6, 7.

  • The Failure: The government did not provide the requested reparations, yet the U.S. government was not overthrown and remains a global power nearly two centuries later 7.
  • Apologetics: The hosts discuss common apologetic responses, such as the claim that the "government" referred only to the specific administration in power at the time, or that the Civil War fulfilled the prophecy. They reject these arguments as "weak sauce" and inconsistent with the text’s definitive language ("not even a grease spot" left) 8-10.
  • The United Order

    Joseph Smith received a revelation (D&C 104) declaring the United Order (a communal economic system) to be an "everlasting order" for the benefit of the church "until I come" 11.

  • The Failure: The United Order collapsed quickly in Kirtland and is not practiced by the modern LDS Church. Despite the revelation stating that those who broke this covenant would be cursed, the church has abandoned the practice entirely 12, 13.
  • Critique: The hosts criticize the "abusive" nature of the text, which threatens members with cursings for failing to live a system that was economically unviable 14, 15.
  • The New Jerusalem in Missouri

    One of the most significant failures discussed involves Independence, Missouri.

  • The Temple: D&C 84 prophesies that a temple would be built in the "New Jerusalem" (Independence, MO) "in this generation" and that "this generation shall not all pass away until an house shall be built unto the Lord" 16. The temple was never built, and the specific lot is currently owned by the Church of Christ (Temple Lot), not the LDS Church 17, 18.
  • Zion Cannot Fall: D&C 97 stated that "Zion cannot fall neither be moved out of her place." Shortly after this revelation, the Saints were violently driven out of Jackson County, Missouri 19, 20.
  • Zion’s Camp and Blame Reversal

    Following the expulsion from Zion, Joseph Smith organized a paramilitary group known as "Zion's Camp" to retake the land.

  • The Prophecy: D&C 103 declared that the redemption of Zion "must needs come by power." However, upon arriving in Missouri with insufficient forces, Joseph received a new revelation (D&C 105) stating they had to wait 21, 22.
  • Blame Reversal: The new revelation blamed the failure on the members' transgressions and lack of unity, rather than on a failure of divine leadership. The hosts identify this as a manipulation tactic common in high-demand religions: when a leader's prophecy fails, the followers are blamed for a lack of faith 23, 24.
  • Zelph the White Lamanite

    During the Zion’s Camp march, the group discovered a skeleton in an Indian burial mound. Joseph Smith declared the skeleton to be "Zelph," a "white Lamanite" and a man of God who fought under a prophet named Onandagus 25.

  • Implications: While not a "failed prophecy" in the predictive sense, the hosts argue this improvisation cements a North American geography for the Book of Mormon (specifically locating the Hill Cumorah in New York) and reinforces the racist doctrine that righteousness is associated with white skin 26, 27. It contradicts modern apologetic theories that try to place Book of Mormon events in Mesoamerica to account for the lack of archaeological evidence in North America 28.
  • Other Specific Failed Revelations

  • David W. Patten: D&C 114 commanded David W. Patten to prepare for a mission the "next spring." Patten died in the Battle of Crooked River in October 1838, before the spring arrived 29.
  • Salem Treasure Hunt: D&C 111 promised Joseph Smith and others that they would find "much treasure" and "gold and silver" in Salem, Massachusetts, to pay their debts. They returned empty-handed. The hosts criticize Fair Mormon's defense that the "treasure" was actually convert baptisms, noting the text explicitly mentions wealth to pay debts 30, 31.
  • Copyright Sale: A revelation commanded Hiram Page and others to go to Canada to sell the copyright of the Book of Mormon. They failed to sell it. The hosts discuss an account stating that upon their return, Joseph suggested that some revelations are of God, some of men, and some of the devil 32, 33.
  • Pestilence and Hail: Joseph prophesied that pestilence, hail, famine, and earthquake would sweep the wicked off the land in "this generation." This apocalyptic destruction did not occur as predicted 34, 35.
  • Conclusion

    The video concludes that Joseph Smith repeatedly made specific, testable predictions that failed. The hosts argue that under the biblical standard established at the beginning of the episode, Joseph Smith does not qualify as a true prophet 36. They suggest that Joseph used revelation as a tool to solve immediate problems (like debt or challenges to his authority) or to mobilize followers, rather than conveying actual divine foreknowledge 36. The hosts contend that apologetic efforts to redefine words like "generation" or "government" are intellectually dishonest attempts to salvage Joseph Smith's credibility 37, 38.

    Episode Info

    Guests: Mike (LDS Discussions), Nemo the Mormon

    Related Article: LDS Discussions